An Immodest Proposal

Sunday, April 11, 2010

An Immodest Proposal
“A finite world can support only a finite population; therefore, population growth must eventually equal zero.” ~Garrett Hardin

“We must alert and organise the world’s people to pressure world leaders to take specific steps to solve the two root causes of our environmental crises—exploding population growth and wasteful consumption of irreplaceable resources. Overconsumption and overpopulation underlie every environmental problem we face today.” ~Jacques-Yves Cousteau
Image Source: http://www.theglobaleducationproject.org/earth/human-conditions.php

In Jonathan Swift’s famous 1729 parody of social policy, A Modest Proposal, the author’s “modest proposal” was for impoverished Irish to sell their children as food for the rich. Swift lampooned the rich landlords and policymakers of his day: “I grant this food may be somewhat dear, and therefore very proper for Landlords, who as they have already devoured most of the Parents, seem to have the best Title to the Children.”

Today, the closely-linked problems of population growth, resource depletion, and poverty still make it appear as if the rich are “eating” the world’s poor. In many countries, impoverished youth are faced with a terrible choice: either go hungry, or work long hours under harsh, unhealthy conditions for little pay. Rich countries extract valuable minerals in poor countries and grow luxury export crops such as coffee or oil palms, all the while shipping pesticides and toxic wastes back in return. Instead of raising the standard of living for poor countries, proceeds from sales to rich countries all too often become multinational corporation profit and raise the standard of living only for a few already-privileged local decision-makers.

Speaking of privileged, the U.S. holds only 5% of the world’s population, but consumes 20% of the world’s resources—and generates 20% of the world’s wastes. Just in terms of oil, the U.S. holds only 2% of known world reserves, but still consumes 20% of the world’s supplies. This is at our current 6.8 billion world population. But world population is projected to peak at over 9 billion folks around 2050!

Science-savvy fiction writer Isaac Asimov eloquently stated this dire problem: “Which is the greater danger—nuclear warfare or the population explosion? The latter absolutely! To bring about nuclear war, someone has to DO something; someone has to press a button. To bring about destruction by overcrowding, mass starvation, anarchy, the destruction of our most cherished values—there is no need to do anything. We need only do nothing except what comes naturally—and breed. And how easy it is to do nothing.”

Conserving energy is vitally important to reduce the environmental impacts of the world’s (relatively) rich and privileged. But there is no single personal decision you can make that will affect the world more significantly than the decision of whether or not to have another child. Even if everyone in “developed” countries drives hybrids and covers their roofs in solar panels, their offspring, despite all this energy efficiency, will continue consuming a disproportionate amount of the world’s resources and generating excess waste.

So, in tribute to Swift, my immodest proposal is this: Please consider having no more than two children—your “replacements,” so to speak. You may decide to have one biological child—or none at all—and consider adopting if you yearn for a larger family. With fewer children, your energy (and money) savings will dwarf even your most aggressive conservation measures!

In Sir David Attenborough’s words: “Instead of controlling the environment for the benefit of the population, maybe we should control the population to ensure the survival of our environment.”

Anatomy of a Faux News Article

Wednesday, March 3, 2010


Let's turn our critical thinking skills on yesterday's Fox News coverage of climate change. (We all know Fox News is "Fair & Balanced," right?)

The article in question is titled: 'Archaic' Network Provides Data Behind Global Warming Theory, Critics Say. The article is neatly summarized for those without the time or interest to read in further detail: "Critics are questioning the accuracy of a 120-year-old weather station network that measures surface temperature in the U.S. by tallying paper reports from volunteers whose data is rife with human error."

If a "120-year-old weather station network" doesn't ring out with enough empirical clarity for its readers, Fox puts things in historical perspective in its opening paragraph: "Crucial data on the American climate, part of the basis for proposed trillion-dollar global warming legislation, is churned out by a 120-year-old weather system that has remained mostly unchanged since Benjamin Harrison was in the White House."

Now I might be reading things into a factual and unbiased piece of professional journalism, but I cannot escape the feeling that this article's title, summary, and opening paragraph clearly are leading a reader by the nose toward the following conclusion: Tremendously expensive U.S. global warming legislation is pending based solely upon terribly archaic and error-ridden data. Let's examine these assumptions in more detail with a little fact-checking.

First, let's look at author Joseph Abrams -- who has penned other such Fair & Balanced pieces as "Obama 'Most Powerful Writer Since Julius Caesar,' Says NEA Chief," "Army of the Lord? Obama Seeks Health Care Push From Pulpit," and "Obama's Science Czar Considered Forced Abortions, Sterilization as Population Growth Solutions." An author's use of adjectives and other bits of color can be used to paint (supposedly) empirical facts in entirely new hues. In his opening paragraph, Abrams tells us that citizen climate data is crucial to the scientific consensus that the planet is warming, and that this data is being churned out by a 120-year-old weather system.

Wait; I thought Fox News blamed faulty computer models for global warming? No, wait, Fox clearly lent support to the belief that global warming is a grand conspiracy intentionally foisted on a gullible world by a secret cabal of thousands upon thousands of scientists worldwide. Nope; turns out it's just citizen reporting errors that led the world's greatest climate scientists to conclude that the world is warming. (Uh, why are all the errors biased in a "plus" direction? Shouldn't bad data be more randomly distributed, with an approximate equal number of high and low errors, given a large enough sampling population?)

Earth to Fox News readers: If you don't want to believe what Al Gore or citizen temperature data tells us about global warming, then throw it all out! Really; there is much more than ample evidence from satellites, ocean measurements, and other modern, high-tech, accurate, and up-to-date scientific instruments that has been checked and re-checked by knowledgeable and independent sources worldwide. All of this evidence tells us that climate change -- more accurately termed global weirding than global warming -- is here, now, and driven by human emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Or simply start your own citizen weather/gardening log and see if, indeed, the general trend is for spring to arrive earlier and hardiness zones to migrate steadily northward.

I might add that the "critics" cited in this article, namely, one Anthony Watts, is a meteorologist (not a climate scientist), an outspoken critic of climate change, and has a vested interest in selling weather stations to correct all these temperature record anomalies he keeps mentioning.

In closing, let's contrast Fox News coverage with other articles related to climate change from other media outlets. Yesterday, UPI.com posted in its Science News section that "Global warming is real, despite snowfall" and The Christian Science Monitor posted the following opinion piece penned by Walter Rodgers, former senior international correspondent for CNN: "War over the Arctic? Global warming skeptics distract us from security risks." But, of course, it is always dangerous to get your science summarized (accurately or not) from mass media outlets. Best to go to the source and do your own fact-checking!

PS: Ever-helpful Fox News recommends the following similarly Fair & Balanced articles for your further global warming information and edification: "U.S. Climate Data Compromised by Sensors' Proximity to Heat Sources, Critics Say" and "Gore Feels the Heat, Comes In From the Cold." Thanks, Fox!

Dismantling Spaceship Earth's Life Support Systems

Thursday, October 15, 2009

We're not adjusting the thermostat of Spaceship Earth; we're dismantling our ship's life-support systems.

October 15th is Blog Action Day and this year’s topic is climate change. I study climate change as part of my Interdisciplinary (Environmental) Engineering Ph.D. program at UAB. I have no doubt that global warming is real. Here's why:

Imagine the weight of an SUV (2.5 tons) in coal. Now imagine burning 1,350,000 "coal SUVs" every day. That is the amount of coal we turn into CO2 (and even worse pollutants) every day. That doesn't even count all the oil, natural gas, and other fossil fuels that we burn every day. How can releasing millions of years worth of stored solar energy over a couple of centuries not have side effects?

What kinds of side effects? For starters, around 20% to 30% of plant and animal species are likely to be at increased risk of extinction if global average temperatures exceed 1.5 degree C to 2.5 degree C over late 20th century levels. So why worry about species loss? Each species lost is a loss of genetic information akin to burning the Library of Alexandria. Each species lost not only takes with it a possible cure for cancer and other medical miracles, but also a loss of ecosystem services whose collective value far outweighs the combined value of all human economies. Without the many "free" ecosystem services provided by nature, humans have no clean air, no clean water, and no unspoiled land/capital upon which to live, let alone produce economic goods and services.

Even if the most knowledgeable scientific minds in the world haven't convinced you that global warming is real, there is no doubt about what is happening now in terms of global warming's equally-evil twin, ocean acidifcation. According to the Scientific Committee on Oceanic Research (SCOR) and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (UNESCO-IOC),
The ocean absorbs approximately one-fourth of the CO2 added to the atmosphere from human activities each year, greatly reducing the impact of this greenhouse gas on climate. When CO2 dissolves in seawater, carbonic acid is formed. This phenomenon, called ocean acidification, is decreasing the ability of many marine organisms to build their shells and skeletal structure. Field studies suggest that impacts of acidification on some major marine calcifiers may already be detectable, and naturally high-CO2 marine environments exhibit major shifts in marine ecosystems following trends expected from laboratory experiments. Yet the full impact of ocean acidification and how these impacts may propagate through marine ecosystems and affect fisheries remains largely unknown.
One example of global warming/ocean acidification that is happening now and not in some theoretical future is the massive and widespread bleaching and loss of coral reefs, the most diverse marine ecosystem. Things are bad now, but according to professor Hoegh-Guldberg of The University of Queensland, under increasing ocean acidification "Coral reefs are likely to dwindle into insignificance; they'll be reduced to rubble, threatening the fate of those tens of millions of people whose livelihoods depend upon them."

Global warming costs human lives directly, as well. World Health Organization researchers believe that global warming is already responsible for some 150,000 deaths each year around the world, and fear that the number may well double by 2030 even if we start getting serious about emissions reductions today. Additionally, nearly 634 million people—one tenth of the global population—live in at-risk coastal areas just a few meters above existing sea levels where they are endangered by the worldwide melting of land-based glaciers.

Global warming costs us in real dollars, too. One of the best guesses at the potential economic costs of climate change came from the Stern Review, commissioned by the UK government. Lord Stern found that climate change could end up costing between 5% and 20% of global GDP per year. But Stern said it would only cost about 2% of global GDP to avoid.

The average CO2 released per human today is 7 tons. The average needed by 2100 to (hopefully) avoid the worst effects of global warming? 1 ton. But it's not just our addiction to fossil fuels that we need to kick. Tropical deforestation accounts for 20 percent of the world’s global warming emissions—more than the total emissions from every car, truck, plane, ship, and train on earth.

We must change our ways, and soon; for we are not simply adjusting the thermostat of Spaceship Earth, we are foolishly dismantling our ship's life-support system.

Return to Green

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun. (Ecclesiastes 1:9)

Earlier this week I attended the "Workshop on Advanced Green Composites" at the University of Alabama at Birmingham (UAB). With distinguished speakers such as Dr. Anil Netravali from Cornell University and tongue-tangling topics such as "Ionic Liquid in Processing Multifunctional Cellulose Fiber and Biocomposites" you might think that this workshop promoted new, cutting edge technologies. In one sense, it did; but at the same time I was struck by how many speakers reminded us that we are rediscovering old – in some cases, very old – technologies. As one speaker quipped, the first green composite building materials utilized by humans probably were straw-and-mud adobe bricks around 3,500 BC.

Another speaker showed a dramatic old picture of Henry Ford literally taking an axe to one of his famous automobiles. The photo showed the axe rebounding from the sleek, black trunk panel. But didn’t they make cars out of much heavier and sturdier metals in those days? Turns out the sleek, black panel that proved impervious to axe blows was a biocomposite, and Ford was an early advocate of such materials. Indeed, Ford made a whole car out of such green materials. This event is described by David Morris in a newsletter of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance:

On August 14, 1941, at the 15th Annual Dearborn Michigan Homecoming Day celebration, Henry Ford unveiled his biological car. Seventy percent of the body of the cream-colored automobile consisted of a mat of long and short fibers from field straw, cotton linters, hemp, flax, ramie and slash pine. The other 30 percent consisted of a filler of soymeal and a liquid bioresin.

The timing gears, horn buttons, gearshift knobs, door handles and accelerator pedals were derived from soybeans. The tires were made from goldenrods bred by Ford’s close friend Thomas Edison. The gas tank contained a blend: about 85 percent gasoline and about 15 percent corn-derived ethanol.


Unfortunately, World War II derailed this early sustainable green movement and helped ensure that the "modern" automobile would be solidly metal- and petrochemical-based. Here and now, as speaker after speaker at the conference reminded us, it is often a struggle to re-integrate individual components made of biocomposites into our unsustainable, energy-intensive buildings and machines.

However, as the slides of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)-certified buildings and topics such as "Beans to Machines" revealed, there are many positive trends indicating a return to green. New federal legislation calling for increased fuel and energy efficiency, as well as rising oil prices, are spurring much-needed (re-)developments in green composites. In the words of wise old Solomon: "There is a time for everything, and a season for every activity under heaven" (Ecclesiastes 3:1).

Dream Job

Friday, June 26, 2009

Kyle’s Dream Job
And other philosophical ramblings

My personal mission statement reads: “To Learn, To Create, To Teach, To Empower in Art, Science, & Stewardship.” That’s not a job description, but it does provide me with a guiding framework for choosing a job. My dream job must encompass the following elements:

Learning
I am a knowledge addict. Lifelong learning is a passion. I am a Knowledge Capitalist. Give me knowledge that is both broad and deep. Only interdisciplinary knowledge can solve major problems in an increasingly-connected, tangled, complex, exponentially-growing world of people and information.

Creating
Knowledge, to dispute a common aphorism, is not power. Knowledge is simply a tool, and it must be wielded in the correct manner if goals are to be achieved. We may know that, given a sufficient lever, we may indeed move the world, but resources, procurement, staging and assembly/testing are other matters entirely. I see creating as a divine process; I arose from stardust, and it is my duty to continue this process of assembly and emergence, to make the whole indeed greater than the sum of its parts.

Teaching
Personal learning is investing in a public future only if that knowledge can be shared successfully. A creation sitting in a closet, literally or figuratively, is an evolutionary dead-end. No information will be transmitted; no further mutations (changes) will occur. Only in sharing knowledge is knowledge challenged, honed, proven, and applied to significant problems. Plus the teacher always learns more than the students (q.v., Learning). Critical thinking skills are essential in both the learning and transmission of knowledge.

Empowering
Knowledge may be value-less but its application is not. Value-driven personal leadership, planning and goals are essential to know if we are answering the right questions in the right way. I believe that we have many moral and ethical obligations to each other and to our planet. We must not deprive one another (or future generations) of the ability to live, love, learn, and create. One important goal of this whole learn-create-teach cycle is to not just impart knowledge but to bequeath power – here defined as the ability to apply knowledge in correct ways to achieve beneficial change.

My personal “funky business” might include, but not be limited to, the following broad categories of interest arranged alphabetically from the increasingly convoluted mind-map that is me: animals, art, blogs, books, castles, catastrophe theory, caves, caving, chaos theory, complexity theory, computers, conservation, DBMS, desktop publishing, dragons, ecology, economics, education, emergence, environmental science, fantasy, folklore, fractals, game theory, games, gardening, gargoyles, GIS, ghosts, graphics, green investing, hauntings, hiking, history, horror, horseback riding, information theory, IT, leadership, micro loans, mind maps, monsters, movies, music, mythology, philosophy, plants, policy analysis, project management, public administration, racquetball, religion, remote sensing, saving the planet, sci-fi, science, statistics, urban planning, and writing.